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铜价反弹受阻 受美元指数走强打压

日期: 2018-11-12
浏览次数: 73

铜价反弹受阻 受美元指数走强打压

行情回顾,周五基本金属涨跌互现,显示铜价回落,空头资金积极流入。其中沪铜反弹受阻,cu1901合约交投区间为49070-49560元/吨,尾盘收于49180元/吨,日下跌0.55%。外盘方面,截止北京时间15:30,3个月伦铜报6095美元/吨,日下跌0.80%,其下方支撑位关注6000.0美元/吨。

市场方面,隔夜美元指数收阳走高,伦铜下跌,沪期铜表现抗跌缓跟,当月合约承压49400元/吨一线窄幅运行。早间隔月价差波动于80元/吨,持货商维稳报价升水40-升水80元/吨,但成交显难,持货商换现意愿强,无奈只能主动下调报价,好铜下调至升水60~70元/吨,平水铜报价至升水30-40元/吨,成交才稍有起色。第二节交易阶段,隔月价差一度扩大至近百元,持货商对好铜有意回升至升水80元/吨,但市场拒绝不认可,报价只能维持不变于升水30-70元/吨,湿法铜较上一日有小幅下滑,报价贴水70-贴水40元/吨,下游工厂因周末有逢低买盘,但总体仍以刚需为主。逐步临近交割,隔月价差持稳 ,升水也表现稳定难有突破空间,贸易投机空间狭窄,短期现货或难有亮点。

消息方面,亚市美元指数震荡走强,现交投于96.859附近,由于美联储暗示经济强劲令其保持在12月加息的正轨上,预计将“进一步渐进式加息”,美元指数受此利好再次走强。

行业方面,由于必和必拓的Escondida铜矿产量大幅增加,智利今年1-9月的铜产量同比增长7.3%。智利是世界上最大的铜出口国,2018年前9个月生产了425万吨铜,其中Escondida铜矿1-9月铜产量同比增长57.8%至950900吨。

日内沪铜反弹受阻,受美元指数走强打压,铜价反弹空间受限,现货市场有部分逢低买盘,但总体仍以刚需为主。技术面上,期价持续在均线组合中震荡,连续5天收阴线,行情呈现偏弱态势,或将再探49000关口。操作上建议cu1901合约可以考虑在49500元/吨附近空单介入,止损参考50000元/吨。

(文章来源于网络)

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URL:www.gzdlc.com.cn
E-mail:gzdlc@gzdlc.com.cn
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